Shoe Carnival Valuation

SCVL Stock  USD 20.55  0.30  1.48%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Shoe Carnival has a current Real Value of $19.17 per share. The regular price of the company is $20.55. Our model measures the value of Shoe Carnival from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.0878, shares outstanding of 27.37 M, and Operating Margin of 0.06 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Shoe Carnival's valuation include:
Price Book
0.8234
Enterprise Value
817.7 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
7.399
Price Sales
0.4917
Forward PE
13.8889
Overvalued
Today
20.55
Please note that Shoe Carnival's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Shoe Carnival is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Shoe Carnival's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Shoe stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Shoe Carnival. Since Shoe Carnival is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Shoe Stock. However, Shoe Carnival's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  20.55 Real  19.17 Target  19.0 Hype  20.64
The intrinsic value of Shoe Carnival's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Shoe Carnival's stock price.
19.16
Real Value
22.05
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Shoe Carnival helps investors to forecast how Shoe stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Shoe Carnival more accurately as focusing exclusively on Shoe Carnival's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.190.190.19
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.7620.6423.52
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
17.2919.0021.09
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Shoe Carnival's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Shoe Carnival's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Shoe Carnival's closest peers.

Shoe Carnival Cash

131.23 Million

Shoe Revenue by Product

Shoe Carnival Total Value Analysis

Shoe Carnival is at this time anticipated to have valuation of 817.68 M with market capitalization of 562.56 M, debt of 367.99 M, and cash on hands of 47.52 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Shoe Carnival fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
817.68 M
562.56 M
367.99 M
47.52 M

Shoe Carnival Investor Information

About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.82. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Shoe Carnival has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.95. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of January 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 20th of July 2021. Shoe Carnival may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average risk of going through some form of financial straits next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities123.9 M118 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income110.1 M104.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Shoe Carnival Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Shoe Carnival has an asset utilization ratio of 107.01 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.07 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Shoe Carnival is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Shoe Carnival Profitability Analysis

Taking into consideration Shoe Carnival's profitability measurements, Shoe Carnival may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at the moment. It has a very high risk of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Shoe Carnival's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1992-01-31
Previous Quarter
19.2 M
Current Value
14.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit is expected to rise to about 517.8 M this year, although the value of Pretax Profit Margin is projected to rise to (0.05).
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.240.2497
Sufficiently Down
Pretty Stable
For Shoe Carnival profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Shoe Carnival to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Shoe Carnival utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Shoe Carnival's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Shoe Carnival over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Shoe Carnival Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Shoe Carnival's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Shoe Carnival's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Shoe Carnival is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Shoe Carnival is projected to generate 0.19 in earnings per share on the 30th of April 2026. Shoe Carnival earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Shoe Carnival EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Shoe Carnival's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Shoe Carnival, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Shoe Carnival Ownership Allocation

Shoe Carnival shows a total of 27.37 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Shoe Carnival outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Shoe Carnival to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Shoe Carnival. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Shoe Carnival as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that roughly two million eight hundred sixty-three thousand four hundred twenty-two invesors are currently shorting Shoe Carnival expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Shoe Carnival Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.2 B. Net Income was 73.77 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 418.09 M.

Shoe Carnival Past Distributions to stockholders

About Shoe Carnival Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shoe Carnival. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Shoe Carnival based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Shoe Carnival's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Shoe Carnival's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Shoe Carnival. We calculate exposure to Shoe Carnival's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Shoe Carnival's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit493.1 M517.8 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.05)(0.05)
Operating Profit Margin(0.03)(0.03)
Net Loss(0.03)(0.03)
Gross Profit Margin 0.25  0.24 
Shoe Carnival's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Shoe Carnival's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Shoe Carnival can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Shoe Carnival represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Shoe, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Shoe Carnival Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Shoe Carnival's Dividends Paid is quite stable compared to the past year. Dividend Yield is expected to rise to 0.05 this year, although the value of Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio will most likely fall to 1.31. . Retained Earnings is expected to rise to about 933.8 M this year, although the value of Retained Earnings Total Equity will most likely fall to about 261.6 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid16.9 M17.8 M
Dividend Yield 0.05  0.05 
Dividend Payout Ratio 1.03  1.09 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.45  1.31 
There are various types of dividends Shoe Carnival can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Shoe shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Shoe Carnival directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Shoe pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Shoe Carnival by the value of the dividends paid out.

Shoe Carnival Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Shoe Carnival does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.243
Forward Price Earnings13.8889

Shoe Carnival Current Valuation Indicators

Shoe Carnival's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Shoe Carnival's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Shoe Carnival, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Shoe Carnival's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Shoe Carnival's worth.
When determining whether Shoe Carnival is a strong investment it is important to analyze Shoe Carnival's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Shoe Carnival's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Shoe Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Shoe Carnival. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
For more information on how to buy Shoe Stock please use our How to buy in Shoe Stock guide.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shoe Carnival. If investors know Shoe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Shoe Carnival assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.24)
Dividend Share
0.585
Earnings Share
2.1
Revenue Per Share
41.958
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Understanding Shoe Carnival requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Shoe's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Shoe Carnival's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Shoe Carnival's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shoe Carnival's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shoe Carnival is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Shoe Carnival's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.